Brandon J. Weichert’s most recent column in The Asia Times explains why President Biden lost bigly to Vladimir Putin…and why he’ll keep losing to the strongman in the Kremlin.
Brandon J. Weichert’s newest op-ed at The Asia Times shows how bad the US policy toward Russia and Eastern Ukraine really is.
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The United States won the West, specifically California, with an early form of what Sean McFate would refer to as “shadow warfare.” Putin did something similar in Crimea in 2014. Rather than decry it impotently, the United States should wage its own shadow war in defense of its allies (until Washington and Moscow can actually create a workable peace deal between themselves, that is).
President Trump is a transactional leader. So, too, is Vladimir Putin. Let’s do the mother-of-all geopolitical deals and get on with more pressing matters of state already. Neither Ukraine nor Venezuela are worth risking a wider war with Russia. And, despite what “experts” in the United States claim, Russia is a declining power with delusions of grandeur. American policy toward Russia has left Putin with little hope. Thus, as he is increasingly boxed in by the West and a rising China to his east, the likelihood of Putin lashing out militarily against the West is higher now than it has ever been.
“Washington cannot lose its head on this matter. This isn’t Hitler marching into Poland in 1939. This is more akin to the Agadir Crisis in 1911. The Agadir Crisis was an outgrowth of German and French competition for greater influence in Morocco. The crisis was ultimately settled by slow negotiations which ratcheted down tensions. Of course, this event was one of those moments in history which set the proverbial stage for a far nastier event—the First World War—but the Agadir Crisis itself was small and ameliorated with shrewd diplomacy between the affected powers.”
“It’s time to face the fact that the United States has become the battleground for a ridiculous proxy war between two cousins, Ukraine and Russia. It’s no different than how the United States was the victim of an internal blood feud within Islam on September 11, 2001.”
“America’s allies must do what they can, when they can, against whomever they perceive as a threat. The United States will always have their backs; we will gladly provide intelligence and logistical support to these states.”
The best path forward, therefore, is diplomacy, stronger trade relations, and a hardened military defense of Eastern “Europe that placed indigenous militaries at the forefront and kept American forces over-the-horizon.”