Putin will not allow for Belarus to be cleaved from Russian orbit. He may have even engineered the current instability to ensure Belarusian President Lukashenko’s loyalty.
“The United States cannot hope for the best in Russia. Policymakers must assume that Putin will retain his grip on power and continue atomizing Russian society. If that’s the case, then the Russian state will die with Putin.”
Brandon J. Weichert writes, “Zapad-17 is yet another routine Russian military exercise. This is nothing new.”
Dr. Marek Jan Chodakiewicz offers his assessment on Belarusian grand strategy and the possibility that Alexander Lukashenko is about to be overthrown.